105–107 Harp Road, Kew East — Pricing Analysis
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Blair Property Group — Pricing Analysis & Strategic Positioning

105–107 Harp Road
Kew East

9 × Three-Bedroom Townhouses  ·  March 2026  ·  Confidential
Recommended Total Revenue
$17,582,100
Based on recommended +3% positioning · 9 lots
Price Range
$1.70M – $2.32M
$618K spread across 9 lots
Average Sale Price
$1.95M
Recommended positioning
Avg $/m² (incl. basement)
$9,388
Headline — suppressed by basement habitable
Avg $/m² (above-grade only)
$10,949
True rate on premium living space (+16.6%)
vs Kew East House Median
7 / 9
Lots priced below $2.1M suburb median

Area & Pricing Summary — All Lots

Internal area includes basement habitable (study / media / ancillary). True above-grade rate isolates premium living area and presents a materially stronger $/m² position for comparable sales purposes.
Lot Internal m² Basement Hab Above-Grade Garage POS List Price $/m² (total) $/m² (above-grade)
Lot 0120028 m²172 m²40129$1,879,750$9,399$10,929
Lot 0217525 m²150 m²3531$1,699,500$9,711$11,330
Lot 0317525 m²150 m²3431$1,699,500$9,711$11,330
Lot 0419527 m²168 m²4031$1,802,500$9,244$10,729
Lot 0519729 m²168 m²4365$1,848,850$9,385$11,005
Lot 0624137 m²204 m²50132$2,317,500$9,616$11,360
Lot 0722529 m²196 m²3730$2,008,500$8,927$10,247
Lot 0822630 m²196 m²3730$2,008,500$8,887$10,247
Lot 0924137 m²204 m²5172$2,317,500$9,616$11,360
TOTAL / AVG1,875 m² 271 m² 1,608 m² 367 m²551 m² $17,582,100 $9,388 avg $10,949 avg

Lot Prices vs Market Medians

Dashed lines — Kew East house median $2.1M and unit median $935k (REIV Jun Q 2025)

$/m² — Headline vs True Above-Grade

Basement habitable suppresses the apparent rate by ~$1,561/m² on average (14.3%)

Area Composition per Lot

Above-grade living, basement habitable, garage, and private open space

Premium / Discount vs House Median

7 of 9 lots below $2.1M — genuine entry-point to one of Melbourne's most tightly held postcodes
Headline $/m² (All Internal)
$9,388/m²
Includes basement habitable — understates the true market rate
True $/m² (Above-Grade Only)
$10,949/m²
Genuine rate on premium above-ground habitable space
Avg Rate Suppression
−$1,561/m²
14.3% below the true above-grade rate due to basement inclusion
$/m² Context — Why the Headline Rate Misleads

The feasibility drawings include basement habitable area (study / media / storage) in each townhouse's internal area figure. While technically habitable, this space attracts lower buyer value than above-ground living — limited natural light, reduced ceiling amenity, and below street level. Including it in the $/m² denominator pulls the apparent rate from $10,949/m² down to $9,388/m². Any comparable sales analysis or bank valuation should isolate above-grade habitable area to avoid understating the project's per-square-metre position relative to comparable townhouse product in the market.

Harp Road on the Kew East Price Spectrum

All 9 lots sit between the unit median and house median — directly competing with established house pricing while delivering a new-build product at a genuine discount
$500k$1.0M$1.5M$2.0M$2.5M$3.0M
Unit Median $935k
House Median $2.1M
02·03
04
05
01
07·08
06·09
Kew East Units
MARKET BELOW
$935,000
Kew East unit median (REIV Jun Q 2025). Typically 1–2BR strata product with limited amenity. The large gap to townhouse pricing reflects the lifestyle premium of house-like product.
Harp Road Townhouses
THIS PROJECT
$1.70M – $2.32M
Brand-new 3BR townhouses with basement garaging. Competing directly with — and in 7 of 9 cases below — the house median. Entry-point access to Kew East without the full land premium.
Kew East Houses
MARKET ABOVE
$2,100,000
House median (REIV Jun Q 2025). Typically 1920s–1940s timber homes or rebuilt modern houses on full blocks. Higher land value but predominantly older stock requiring renovation.
Price Spread
$618K
Min to max across 9 lots
Compression Ratio
31.6%
Spread as % of average price
Lots Below House Median
7 / 9
Genuine suburb entry-point pricing
Avg Discount to Median House
7.0%
$146,433 saving vs $2.1M median
Suburb Days on Market
48
Kew East houses avg · CoreLogic
Blair Property Group — Recommended Strategic Intent

We believe the right strategic intent for Harp Road is deliberate entry-level positioning within one of Melbourne's most aspirational inner-east suburbs. At a recommended average of $1,953,567, these 3-bedroom townhouses sit 7.0% below the Kew East house median — offering buyers a new-build alternative to ageing stock, without carrying the full land premium of a standalone property. This is a compelling and defensible price point that we are confident the market will absorb efficiently.

The pricing compression across the 9 lots reinforces this intent. The project is not attempting to compete on luxury specification or prestige tiering; it is competing on suburb access, newness, and the quality of everyday living. Buyers priced out of the house market, or downsizers seeking a quality lock-up-and-leave lifestyle, find a genuinely differentiated product at a meaningful discount to detached housing in the same postcode — with the added benefit of new-build warranty, basement garaging, and private outdoor space.

The true above-grade $/m² rate of $10,949/m² — understated by the headline figure of $9,388/m² due to basement habitable inclusion — confirms that pricing is grounded in strong fundamental value. We recommend this strategy for its lower risk profile, alignment to demonstrated buyer demand depth at this price point, and its potential to drive faster campaign absorption than a premium-positioned alternative.

Indicative Luxury Uplift — Up to +10% on Base Pricing

Should the project elect to pursue a luxury positioning strategy — supported by a premium specification package, elevated branding identity, and a curated buyer acquisition campaign — we believe there is a case for pricing at up to 10% above base feasibility rates. This represents a meaningful strategic departure and would require deliberate commitment across product, marketing, and campaign timing.

Indicative Price Range
$1.82M – $2.48M
+10% on base feasibility prices
Indicative Total Revenue
$18,777,000
vs $17,582,100 recommended
Additional Revenue Potential
+$1,194,900
Upside vs recommended strategy
Avg Luxury Price
$2,086,333
At near-parity with house median

Key consideration: At luxury pricing, the average lot price of $2.09M would sit at near-parity with — or marginally above — the Kew East house median of $2.1M. This significantly reduces the entry-point value proposition that underpins the recommended strategy, and would require the product specification, marketing execution, and buyer experience to carry the premium convincingly. We would recommend a detailed comparable sales review and specification audit before committing to this path. The recommended +3% strategy, by contrast, offers a lower-risk, faster-absorption outcome well aligned to the depth and profile of demand in this price bracket.